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Benchmarks · other

AGI-Pilled Bench

Median forecast in years after 2026 for 8 AI milestones. Lower means more AGI-pilled. 5 runs per milestone; the IMO control is excluded.

14 models · 39 results · data as of 2026-10-29 · agi-pilled-bench.adamholter.chatgpt.site ↗

Leaderboard

Chart settings
14 of 14 selected
Haiku 5.5 high

All results

39 rows
#ModelEffortAGI-Pilled Bench
1Haiku 5.5high6.0 ±5.0
2Haiku 5.5xhigh6.0 ±3.0
3Sonnet 5.5xhigh6.0 ±5.0
4Opus 5.5xhigh7.0 ±2.8
5Gemini 4 Argonhigh7.0 ±2.0
6Gemini 4 Argonlow7.0 ±1.8
7Gemini 4 Argonmedium7.0 ±2.3
8Haiku 5.5low7.5 ±2.5
9Opus 5.5low8.0 ±2.5
10GLM 5.3low8.0 ±1.5
11Haiku 5.5medium9.0 ±2.0
12Opus 5.5high9.0 ±3.5
13Opus 5.5medium9.0 ±3.5
14Sonnet 5.5high9.0 ±4.5
15Sonnet 5.5low9.0 ±4.5
16Gemini 3.8 Flashmedium9.0 ±2.0
17GPT-6.1 Sollow9.0 ±3.5
18Gemini 3.8 Flashhigh9.5 ±2.3
19Sonnet 5.5medium10.0 ±4.5
20Gemini 3.8 Flashlow10.0 ±2.5
21GPT-6 Astramedium10.0 ±3.5
22GPT-6 Astralow11.5 ±3.5
23GPT-6.1 Solhigh11.5 ±3.0
24GPT-6.1 Solmedium11.5 ±4.3
25Grok 4.7low12.5 ±4.3
26GPT-6.1 Solxhigh13.0 ±3.0
27Kimi K3low13.0 ±5.0
28GPT-6 Astraxhigh13.5 ±3.0
29GPT-6 Astrahigh14.0 ±2.8
30GPT-6 Lunaxhigh14.0 ±2.0